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11 Feb 2013
Forex Flash: G20 meeting in Moscow looks set to focus on ´Currency Wars´ - Societe Generale
Kit Juckes, Global Head of Currency Strategy at Societe Generale notes that the G20 meeting in Moscow this week seems certain to focus on ‘currency wars’ but beyond a bland call for countries not to engage in competitive devaluations, he feels that it’s hard to see what concrete steps can be taken at this stage.
He writes, “The ‘currency war’ is a product of easy Fed policy, and the US is winning comfortably. Japan’s response can’t be criticised in the context of the deflation they have been stuck in, and Europe cannot agree a common position. Otherwise, look for solid gains in UK and US retail sales data this week, look for weak Q4 GDP data across Europe, and the Riksbank, which should leave rates on hold (SEK positive).”
He writes, “The ‘currency war’ is a product of easy Fed policy, and the US is winning comfortably. Japan’s response can’t be criticised in the context of the deflation they have been stuck in, and Europe cannot agree a common position. Otherwise, look for solid gains in UK and US retail sales data this week, look for weak Q4 GDP data across Europe, and the Riksbank, which should leave rates on hold (SEK positive).”