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Flash: disinflationary forces are tightening their grip. - BBH

FXstreet.com (London) - Research teams at BBH suggest that the ECB needs to consider tomorrow that the fact that disinflationary forces are tightening their grip.

Key Quotes:

“The preliminary September rate of 1.1% is nearly a four year low. The core rate stands at 1%. The ECB targets headline inflation at close to, but below 2%. The appreciation of the euro also warns of downside risk to imported prices, especially energy”.

“Like the Federal Reserve, it needs to consider ensuring investors that it approaches its inflation target symmetrically. This is to say, that is will be just as concerned about inflation undershooting, as much as overshooting. Some of the drop in inflation is due to the arguably exaggerated effects of the increase in administered prices, like VAT increases, that pushed up measured inflation and are now falling out of the calculations. This is a key factor that has seen the Spanish CPI fell to four year lows”.

“The decline in price pressures is taking place amid continued slow growth in money supply growth, one of the pillars of ECB monetary policy. In addition, private sector lending continues to contract”.

AUD/NZD soars to fall around 1.1355

AUD/NZD is perceived a formidable pair by speculators who affirm strong demand may cause the extension of an upward trendline that started yesterday. Despite an apparently impulsive and unsustainable price movement, the pair prints higher lows but remains capped below 1.14.
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Session Recap: Not too much damage to the USD as Gold didn't come to the party

Shutdown who? There were two questions over the market today: how much the Dollar and stocks would be hurt by the US government impasse and how much the Gold would rise in such as risk environment. But none was right.
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